Week 12 Where to Put em

November 25, 2010

fantasy football rankings
Where to Put 'em is the Fantasy Football Nerd's look at the best and worst match ups for Week 12. Decisions are based upon the FFN fantasy football rankings and match up analysis. Given the known conditions, these match ups are the ones to watch and/or avoid.



Put 'em In The Game: Ben Roethlisberger
While Buffalo doesn't give up a lot of yardage through the air (8th-fewest at 219 yards/game), they are susceptible in the end zone allowing the 9th most points to opposing QBs. Big Ben has been on a big roll as of late throwing 6 scores and running 1 in during the last two games. We're expecting him to keep rolling.
Put 'em In The Game: Matt Cassel
Cassel struggled early in the year but has lately become a pretty consistent option at QB. He exploded at Denver for a monster day and that could happen again this week against the Seahawks who give up the 3rd most yards to opposing QBs (300.2 yards/game) and give up the 26th most points. As long as Cassel can find Bowe you'll find fantasy points.
Put 'em In The Game: Jamaal Charles
Joining Cassel above against the Seahawks is Jamaal Charles. Seattle gives up the 25th most yards to opposing RBs at 153 yards/game. Charles will share some of those yards with Thomas Jones but we're expecting Charles to get the bulk of those.
Put 'em In The Game: Brandon Jacobs
The coaching staff in New York finally had enough of Bradshaw's fumbilitis and have given the starting job to Brandon Jacobs. That's significant because Jacksonville gives up 129 yards on the ground each game and the 4th most TD's to opposing RBs. Bradshaw will get some of those yards but Jacobs should see the goal-line carries.
Put 'em In The Game: Mario Manningham
Manningham, if available, has been grabbed off most waiver wires this week. Hakeem Nicks and Steve Smith will be out which puts Manningham in the #1 receiver spot for the Giants. Jacksonville gives up the 5th most fantasy points and the 3rd most yards through the air (194 yards/game) to opposing WR's.
Put 'em In The Game: Santonio Holmes
It took until Week 9 for Holmes to see fantasy double digits, but he's been on a roll as of late. When the game is on the line, Sanchez is looking to Holmes for the game winner. That could happen again when they face the Bengals on Thanksgiving evening. Cincy gives up the 9th most fantasy points to opposing WR's. If Ryan Fitzpatrick and Steve Johnson could tear them up, Sanchez and Holmes should be able to as well.
Put 'em In The Game: Jacob Tamme
Dallas Clark's replacement has been fantastic for fantasy owners. He hasn't seen the end zone in the past two games but he's seeing double digit targets and hasn't had less than 6 receptions and 60 yards since filling in. The Chargers have a tough secondary but they've been surprisingly generous to opposing TE's allowing the 6th most points to them.
Put 'em In The Game: Heath Miller
Heath Miller's fantasy value hasn't come back with Big Ben's return like we all thought it would (ranked 27th among TE's on FleaFlicker), but that should change this week against Buffalo. Only one other team gives up more points to opposing TE's than the Bills and nobody gives up more scores to them.
Put 'em In The Game: Neil Rackers
Predicting kickers should be left to meteorologists, but based upon the match up, our stormy prediction is that Rackers will have a good day. The Titans give up the 2nd most fantasy points per game to opposing K's.
Put 'em On The Bench: Carson Palmer
Palmer is listed as probable for Thursday's game but we don't like the combination of a bad foot and a bad match up against the Jets. Revis is healthy and that should spell trouble for the Cincy passing game. The Jets are statistically a middle-of-the-road pass defense, but those stats have a less than 100% Revis in them. Palmer's match up doesn't look good.
Put 'em On The Bench: Joe Flacco
Joe Flacco has been a model of fantasy consistency lately. Unfortunately, his match up isn't as sweet as it has been the last couple of weeks. Tampa Bay gives up the 5th fewest points to opposing WR's according to FleaFlicker and the 3rd fewest yards per game (207). While Flacco has the potential to go off, we see a repeat of Weeks 1 and 2.
Put 'em On The Bench: Marshawn Lynch
Kansas City has been average against the run this year giving up 144 yards on the ground and the 17th most fantasy points to opposing RB's. If we thought that Lynch was reliable, we might suggest giving him a shot, however safe picks is the name of the game this week and Lynch does NOT fit that mold. If his own coach can't trust him, how can we?
Put 'em On The Bench: Beanie Wells
What a bust Wells has been this year. We're putting both Wells and Hightower on the sit list this week as they face a very tough 49ers defense on Monday night that coughs up the 5th fewest fantasy points to opposing RB's. We can't reliably tell you who is going to see more touches this week and we're not confident that either back will see fantasy relevance this week. Sit 'em both.
Put 'em On The Bench: Dez Bryant
Bryant has been on a run lately racking up some serious points. That's going to change this week as he faces the toughest pass defense on Turkey Day. Dez Bryant is ranked #10 this week on FFN and we disagree with the experts on this one. We're looking for a safe pick and Bryant isn't it.
Put 'em On The Bench: Pierre Garcon
Gotta admit that we're tired of seeing Garcon drop passes that could have brought him into fantasy studland. When you have one of the NFL's best quarterbacks and increased playing time, one would assume that Garcon would be a must-start every week. That's what you get when you assume. The Chargers are the 2nd toughest team on opposing WR's in yards given up, TD's given up, and fantasy points given up. We're giving up on Garcon this week.
Put 'em On The Bench: Randy Moss
The one glimmer of hope for Moss this week is that Houston basically rolls out the red carpet for fantasy WR's giving up the most points to them and the 3rd most yards through the air. Here's what we don't like: Washington is very friendly to WR's and Moss had a big fat doughnut last week. His QB this week is Rusty Smith, the rookie who was drafted 176th overall. Welcome to the NFL Rusty but your 33% completion rate and pick last week doesn't inspire much confidence.
Put 'em On The Bench: Zach Miller
What happened to the fantasy stud from earlier this year? Injury - that's what. Miller has had a total of 17 yards in the past month and continues to be a limited participant in practices. If Miami were easier on opposing TE's, we might see a glimmer of hope but that's not the case this week. Miami is very tough allowing a measly 5 pts/game to TE's (ppr).
Put 'em On The Bench: Marcedes Lewis
Marcedes Lewis has been one of our favorite TE's this year but his match up this week against the Giants will be a tough one. He may still post adequate numbers but the match up this week won't make it easy. Lewis is the 2nd most productive TE according to FleaFlicker, so you'll probably be starting him, but temper your expectations.

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