August 2019 Blog Postings


This is the final draft weekend before kickoff on Thursday when the Chicago Bears host the Green Bay Packers. For those of us who have drafted more times than we can count, it's been an interesting preseason. Here are some thoughts on the current draft season. All ADP notes are based upon a 12-team league.
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This will be the 9th season that Fantasy Football Nerd has hosted its annual fantasy football charity league where we compete for a cause greater than ourselves. So who better to get some fantasy advice from?
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One concept that we have preached for many years is knowing the difference between price and value. Price is what you pay. Value is what you get. It's just as useful a concept in life as it is in fantasy football.
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There's no need to have any of the industry experts tell you that you should draft Saquon Barkley, Nick Chubb, DeAndre Hopkins, or any of the other guys that will regularly go in the first few rounds of your drafts. Those are easy, but who should you be looking at as the draft progresses? There's where value can be found and championships won.
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Over the past several years, we've seen running backs finish in the top 10 overall points over wide receivers by a factor of 2 to 1. Running backs are still a fundamental element in fantasy football. It's really no different than any of the countless fad diets. At the end of the day, take in less calories than you expend and you'll lose weight. Likewise, be prepared when you enter the draft room and amass the most fantasy points, and you'll not only have a great draft, but you'll win your league.
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As human beings, we like to be in control. We like to know how things are going to work out in the future. Uncertainty is a trait that we as a species generally try to avoid. The same situation applies to fantasy football. There are going to be players on your board that will cause you some uncertainty. Here are a few of those players and the game plan for them.
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August 17, 2019


If you've drafted already, mocked, or are gearing up for the draft, there are going to be guys that you're looking at on the draft board that will cause you to think twice. It could be that their ADP is simply too high for the value they bring. It could be the positional competition, injury risk, or potential for regression. Regardless of the multitude of reasons, these are the players that we're avoiding in our drafts unless the value absolutely justifies it.
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With the second week of preseason action underway, let's take a look at some of our early Risers and Fallers in the rankings.
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A Sleeper is a player who should surpass his average draft position (ADP) by the time the season is over. The best part about finding a good sleeper is that you'll get much more value for him compared to where you drafted him. The problem with a good sleepers is that they tend to be the worst kept secrets.
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A Breakout Player is someone who will get close to the upper echelon of players at his position for the first time because of a dramatic increase in production compared with his previous seasons (or a rookie who will burst onto the scene). Here are 11 guys who have that kind of potential.
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Nothing is worse than a fantasy football bust and they can come in many forms. Ask fantasy owners who drafted Le'Veon Bell or David Johnson in the first round last year. Fantasy football busts are players who simply do not live up to expectations. Some are bound to be drafted on name recognition even though they're at the end of their careers. Here are 8 potential bust candidates for this season.
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Think you got what it takes to beat a fantasy football nerd? How about a whole league of them? Here's your chance to play against me and 10 other FFN users.
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