Top Overvalued and Undervalued Players

Posted: Saturday, August 24, 2019


One concept that we have preached for many years is knowing the difference between price and value. Price is what you pay. Value is what you get. It's just as useful a concept in life as it is in fantasy football.

When looking for value, you need to know what the market price is. In fantasy football, the market price is often dictated by the ADP (average draft position) as that's what the public is paying per round for each player. When you review the rankings at Fantasy Football Nerd, you'll find the player's rank as well as his ADP. If the player's rank is LOWER than his ADP, that player has more value relative to the price you're paying. If that player's rank is HIGHER than his ADP, that means that people are drafting him well before they should.

The real takeaway here is that you can often wait on the guys who are undervalued. If you're using our rankings, you can often wait a round before you need to take that player. If you want any of the guys that are being overvalued, that means that you'll need to reach a bit to get them.

The following is based upon 12-team, standard scoring.

Top Undervalued Players
PlayerPosTeamDifferential
Austin HooperTEATL-56
Dak PrescottQBDAL-42
Michael GallupWRDAL-42
Dion LewisRBTEN-41
Mitchell TrubiskyQBCHI-41
Jamison CrowderWRNYJ-38
Keke CouteeWRHOU-38
Ito SmithRBATL-38
Kyle RudolphTEMIN-37
Tre'Quan SmithWRNO-37
Corey DavisWRTEN-36
Marquise GoodwinWRSF-36
Derek CarrQBOAK-29
Sam DarnoldQBNYJ-29
Ben RoethlisbergerQBPIT-29
Mark AndrewsTEBAL-27
Courtland SuttonWRDEN-25
Donte MoncriefWRPIT-25
Jerick McKinnonRBSF-25
Anthony MillerWRCHI-25
Jimmy GaroppoloQBSF-24
Matthew StaffordQBDET-23
Sammy WatkinsWRKC-23
Jamaal WilliamsRBGB-22
Dede WestbrookWRJAC-21
Top Overvalued Players
PlayerPosTeamDifferential
Kareem HuntRBCLE38
Darwin ThompsonRBKC22
Alexander MattisonRBMIN21
Jaylen SamuelsRBPIT21
Tony PollardRBDAL20
Adrian PetersonRBWAS19
Mecole HardmanWRKC19
Malcolm BrownRBLAR16
Devin SingletaryRBBUF15
Patrick MahomesQBKC14
Miles SandersRBPHI14
Jordan HowardRBPHI13
Ronald JonesRBTB13
Josh GordonWRNE13
Kalen BallageRBMIA12

Comments

mgaughan commented
August 24, 2019

I have got Josh Gordon late in Yahoo drafts, but he is gone very early in ESPN drafts. On the other hand, Chubb goes early in Yahoo drafts, and I have got him mid to late second round in ESPN drafts. Site default rankings are your friend.

Nerd commented
August 24, 2019

"Site default rankings are your friend."

We should create a LIKE button for comments like that...

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